Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010833 0.013122 0.016000 0.019975 0.025474 3.306281e-02 0.044819
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008453 0.011191 0.015128 0.021536 0.032466 5.217078e-02 0.096295
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006902 0.009622 0.013861 0.021536 0.036721 7.064045e-02 0.179198
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005848 0.008450 0.012747 0.021167 0.039930 9.061167e-02 0.328448
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004927 0.007278 0.011302 0.019604 0.039661 1.020075e-01 0.513304
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004305 0.006482 0.010330 0.018648 0.040333 1.180439e-01 0.896391
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003914 0.006013 0.009850 0.018572 0.043357 1.490409e-01 2.212535
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003657 0.005737 0.009675 0.019130 0.048738 2.055194e-01 11.788624
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003397 0.005417 0.009348 0.019213 0.052762 2.706334e-01 431.541687
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003101 0.004993 0.008739 0.018398 0.053017 3.120877e-01 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002882 0.004692 0.008342 0.018050 0.055051 3.864738e-01 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002790 0.004624 0.008436 0.019114 0.064414 6.446297e-01 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002697 0.004563 0.008593 0.020628 0.079471 1.449678e+00 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002606 0.004500 0.008743 0.022270 0.099535 4.711444e+00 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002445 0.004271 0.008445 0.022270 0.109200 1.270990e+01 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002287 0.004030 0.008077 0.021884 0.115760 4.182558e+01 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002095 0.003699 0.007433 0.020247 0.108760 5.373722e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001949 0.003453 0.006981 0.019248 0.107109 1.332990e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001852 0.003308 0.006775 0.019169 0.115290 1.324008e+07 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001789 0.003230 0.006730 0.019751 0.133271 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001713 0.003118 0.006581 0.019839 0.146373 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001615 0.002946 0.006243 0.018987 0.144360 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001539 0.002821 0.006024 0.018623 0.149923 NaN NaN